The Penn State
Workforce Education & Development Initiative
released a preliminary tables and a briefing paper by Rose Baker
and David Passmore at http://RateCapPrelim.notlong.com.
This research continues to arrive at a variety of estimates of
rate cap elimination for Pennsylvania.
In a nutshell, electricity
rate caps imposed under deregulation of the Pennsylvania electricity
industry will be removed completely for residential, commercial,
and industrial electricity customers by 2010. Prices per kilowatt–hour
consumed for residences and businesses are anticipated to rise
remarkably (40% to 70% increases are possible). We benchmarked
the impact of a 10% electricity price increase on many Pennsylvania
economic indicators, including private nonfarm employment, total
economic output, gross state product, real disposable income, and
population. These benchmarks were created using the Pennsylvania
REMI Policy Insight model, a 70–sector
structural economic and demographic forecasting and policy analysis
model. Our simulations using Policy Insight are built on the notion
that an increase in the price of electricity will alter household
spending and add to industry production costs, resulting in loss
of Pennsylvania jobs, income, economic output, and population. |