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TIMOTHY
J. CONSIDINE
PUBLICATIONS AND PAPERS
Refereed journal articles:
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“Peak oil in a carbon constrained world,” International Review of
Environmental and Resource Economics(pdf
link to full text) |
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“The environment as a factor of production,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 52, 3, (2006), 645-662. |
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“Is the strategic petroleum reserve our ace in the hole?” The Energy Journal, 27, 3, (2006), 91-112. |
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“The value of hurricane forecasts to oil and gas producers in the Gulf of Mexico,” Journal of Applied Meteorology, 43, 9, (2004), 328-336. |
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“Markup pricing in petroleum refining: A multiproduct framework (abstract, pdf
link to full text),” International Journal of Industrial Organization 19, 10 (2001),
1499-1526. |
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“Uncertainty and the convenience yield in crude
oil price backwardations (abstract),” with D.F. Larson, Energy
Economics 23, 5 (2001), 533-548. |
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“Risk premiums on inventory assets: The case of crude oil and natural gas (abstract),” with D.
Larson, Journal of Futures Markets 21, 2 (2001), 109-126. |
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“Price and inventory dynamics in petroleum product markets (abstract),”
with Eunnyeong Heo,
Energy Economics 22, 5 (2000), 527-548. |
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“The
impacts of weather variations on energy demand and carbon emissions (abstract),” Resource and Energy Economics
22, 4 (2000), 295-312. |
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“Cost structures for fossil fuel-fired electric power generation (abstract),” The Energy
Journal 21, 2 (2000), 83-104. |
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“Inventories under joint
production: An empirical analysis of petroleum refining (abstract),” The Review of Economics and Statistics 79, 3 (1997), 493-502. |
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“An empirical analysis of exposure-based
regulation to abate toxic air pollution (abstract),” with Marakovits, Donita M., Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 31, 2 (1996),
337-351. |
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“Technological change under residual risk
regulation (abstract),” Environmental &
Resource Economics 3 (1993), 15-33. |
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“A short-run model of petroleum product
supply (abstract),”
The Energy Journal 13, 2 (1992),
61-91. |
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“Economic and technological determinants of the
material intensity of use (abstract),” Land
Economics 67, 1 (1991), 99-115. |
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“Symmetry constraints and variable returns to
scale in logit models (abstract),” Journal of
Business and Economic Statistics 8, 3 (1990), 347-353. |
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“Estimating the demand for energy and natural
resource inputs: Trade-offs in global properties (partial
text),” Applied Economics 21 (1989), 931-945. |
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“Separability, functional form, and regulatory
policy in models of interfuel substitution (abstract),” Energy
Economics 11, 2 (1989), 82-94. |
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“Oil price volatility and U.S. macroeconomic
performance (abstract),” Contemporary Policy Issues
VI, 3 (1988), 83-96. |
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“Interfuel substitution and cyclical volatility in
U.S. natural gas markets (partial
text),” The Journal
of Energy and Development 10, 1 (1985), 97-109. |
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“The use of linear logit models for dynamic input
demand systems,” with T.D. Mount, The
Review of Economics and Statistics LXVI, 3 (1984), 434-443. |
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“A regional econometric analysis of energy prices and economic activity (abstract),” with T.D. Mount, Environment and Planning A
15 (1983), 1027-1041. |
Other refereed publications:
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“The Transformation of the North American Steel Industry: Drivers, Prospects, and Vulnerabilities,” American Iron and Steel Institute, www.steel.org, 54 pages, April 2005. |
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“Can Electricity Restructuring Survive? Lessons from California and Pennsylvania,” in Electric Choices: Deregulation and the Future of Electric Power, Andrew Kleit, editor, The Independent Institute, 2007, with Andrew Kleit. |
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Retooling manufacturing: Bridging design, materials, and production, coauthor, National Research Council, The National Academies Press, (2004). |
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“Climate change: Impact on the demand for energy,” Encyclopedia of Energy, Cutler J. Cleveland, editor, Elsevier Science, (2004), 393-400. |
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“Industrial ecology: Challenges and opportunities for economics,” in T. Tietenberg, and H. Folmer, editors, International Yearbook of Environmental and Resource Economics
(forthcoming). |
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Understanding natural gas price decontrol, Congressional Budget Office, January 1983,
Chapters 2 & 4. |
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Natural gas wellhead pricing policies: Implications for the federal budget,
Congressional Budget Office, April 1983, 1-53. |
Other publications:
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The U.S. Chemical Industry at Risk: Climate Change Legislation and Higher Natural Gas Prices, Chemical Week, August 2007. |
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“Systematic Bias in EIA Oil Price Forecasts: Concerns and Consequences.” with F. Clemente World Oil, August 2007. |
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“Betting on Bad Numbers: How EIA Forecasts for Natural Gas MarketsContain Systematic Bias,” with F. Clemente Public Utilities Fortnightly, forthcoming, July 2007. |
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Technologies to Reduce, Capture and Store Carbon Dioxide Emissions, National Coal Council, Report to the U.S. Secretary of Energy, forthcoming July 2007, Chapters 1 & 5. |
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Coal: The Energy Future, with Frank Clemente, et. al, National Coal Council Report to the U.S. Secretary of Energy, April 2006. |
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“Oil markets and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve,” Regulation. The Cato Institute, May/June 2005, 18-25. |
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“A real options analysis of hydrogen research and development,” conference paper, 15th National Hydrogen Conference, Hollywood, CA, April 2004. |
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“Understanding the world crude oil market,” Middle East Geopolitics, Al Dosari International, February 2004, 7-33. |
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“Political economy of natural gas: Strategic implications for the Middle East,” Middle East Geopolitic, Al Dosari International, February 2004, 61-88. |
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“Green economics,” Research Penn State, Vol. 23, Issue 2, May 2002. |
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“Economies of scale and asset values in power production (partial text),”
The Electricity Journal, December 1999, 37-42. |
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“The costs and benefits of coke oven emission controls,” Environmental Policy Modeling
(Boston, MA: Kluwer Publishing), 1994, 103-122. |
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“Technical change, relative prices and
intermaterial substitution,” in International Commodity Market Models, Guvenen, O., W.C. Labys, and J.B. Lesourd, Chapman and Hall, London, (1991), 139-156. |
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“Recent trends in material consumption: The role of technology and economics (abstract),” Materials
and Society, Vol. 14, No. 2,
1990, 167-182. |
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“Energy demand models: Global properties and dynamic adjustments,” John G. Rowse, ed., World Energy Markets: Coping with Instability, July 1987, 627-637. |
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“Lessons from the recent turmoil in energy markets,” Earth and Mineral Sciences, Vol. 56, No. 4, Summer 1987, 60-64. |
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“Atrophy in metal demand?,” Materials and Society, Vol. 10, No. 3, 1987,
529-538. |
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“Why is U.S. productivity growing so slowly?” U.S. Economic Report, World Information Services, Bank of America, July 1986,
2-5. |
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“Investment spending: A new era?” U.S. Economic Report, World Information Services, Bank of America, June 1985, 2-4. |
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“Federal budget deficits: Economic impacts and alternative solutions,” California
Corporate Report, Bank of America, Winter 1985, 1-5. |
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“Energy pricing, employment and economic growth: An econometric analysis of the New York
state economy,” A. E. Research 84, no. 13, Cornell University, July 1984, 1-29. |
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“An econometric analysis of the effects of a fuel shortfall on state level economic
activity,” in A guidebook for analysis of state level economic impacts of an energy shortfall, Forrest
Gunnison, ed., Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/CNSV-TM-70, 1981, 36-62. |
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“Planning models for the assessment of utility applications of solar electric
technologies,” Chapter 4, in Economic assessment of grid-connected solar electric technologies: A review of methods,
S.E.R.I., November 1979, 55-89. |
Book reviews:
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“The Economics of Industrial Ecology,” edited by Jeroen van den Bergh and Marco A. Janssen, The Journal of Industrial Ecology, (forthcoming). |
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“Economic Growth, Material Flows And the Environment,” by Rutger Hoekstra, The Journal of Industrial Ecology, (forthcoming). |
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“Demand, prices and the refining industry,” by Robert Bacon, et al., The
Energy Journal, December 1990. |
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“Money to burn? The high costs of energy subsidies,” by Mark Kosmo, Journal of
Energy and Development, Autumn 1988. |
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“The econometrics of energy demand: a survey of applications,” by William A.
Donnelly, The Energy Journal, January 1988. |
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“Consumer durable choice and the demand for electricity,” by Jeffrey A. Dubin, The
Energy Journal, January 1988. |
Reports to project sponsors:
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Considine, T.J. R. Entler, and F. Clemente, “The Economic Impacts of Fortuna Energy, Inc.” December 2006. |
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“The value of hurricane forecast information to energy producers in the Gulf of Mexico,” with C. Jablonowski, B. Posner, and C. Bishop, Final report to National Science Foundation, ATM-9908963, January 2003. |
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“Comparing electricity deregulation in California and Pennsylvania: Implications for
the Appalachian Region (partial text,
pdf link to full text),” with A. Kleit, final report to Appalachian
Regional Commission, ARC contract number CO-12884, February 2002. |
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“The environment and new technology adoption in the U.S. steel industry,”
with C. Jablonowski, and D. Considine, final report to National Science
Foundation and Lucent Technologies, BES-9727296, May 2001. |
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“The industrial ecology of particulate materials, with Frank J. DeNapoli
M. Lanagan, H. Lewis, M. Silsbee, B. Scheetz E. Snyder, final report to
National Science Foundation, MUSE-0223958, November 2004. |
Working papers
and manuscripts:
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“Evaluating Forecasts of Natural Gas Markets: Implications for Modeling and Policy Analysis,” June 2007. |
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“New technology Assessment and Material Flows: A Case Study of Steel
production,” February 2008. |
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Clemente, Frank, and T. Considine, “Coal: China’s Energy Imperative,” September 2006. |
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Clemente, Frank, and T. Considine, “Out of Poverty: The Role of Coal in
Economic Development.” |
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T. Considine, “Arizona’s Energy Future: The Economic Impacts of
Alternative Renewable Energy Paths.” |
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T. Considine, D. Larson, and M. Hassan “The Role of Carbon Regulation in
Inter-fuel substitution in the European Electricity Industry.” |
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