April 2008 Archives

Fear and obliteration are the two words that currently define the Clinton campaign and mark the substantive difference between a possible Clinton and Obama presidency.  

First, taking a page directly out of the Karl Rove playbook, Clinton has consistently deployed fear tactics in the final days before a primary to motivate people to vote.  We have already experienced the violence and destruction that results when people vote their anxieties. And with the appeal to fear, as we have also witnessed, comes the foreign policy of irresponsible bombast.  

Thus, it is no surprise that when asked how she, as President, would respond to a hypothetical scenario in which Iran attacked Israel with nuclear weapons, she said that we would "totally obliterate them."  This is, as discussed in a previous post, consistent with a foreign policy driven by Lee Feinstein who has criticized the Bush Administration's strategy of preemption for not going far enough.

Robert Scheer has intelligent things to say in criticizing Clinton's statement, as does Dorothy Wickenden.

See the immediate context of her comment here:

Well, last night did not bring the victory for Obama and the conclusion to the Democratic nominating process that I had hoped.  It seems that Obama's defeat in PA was largely due to the voting tendencies of an older generation that is not ready to move on to a more mature politics.  

The younger generation, however, was clearly energized by Obama as is clear from the following points made in an email to Obama supporters by Shawn Domagal-Goldman, a Penn State student organizer for the Obama campaign.

These figures suggest that the work that was done here in Centre Country made a significant difference.

  • Centre County was Obama's 2nd best county in the state, trailing only Philadelphia County.
  • Obama's margin of victory in Centre County (4,766 votes) was big enough to prevent Clinton from getting a 3-1 delegate split from our congressional district. Instead, it will be a 2-2 split.
  • The margin of victory in Centre County also appears to have prevented Clinton from obtaining a significant milestone: a double-digit victory in PA.
  • Obama won newly registered Democrats by a 62-38 margin. Without these these voters (13% of the electorate), Clinton's margin of victory would have been a whopping 15%. This is the type of victory she really needed to claim campaign viability. The gains we made on her in PA from when we were 20 points down were due in large part to the boots on the ground registering new voters and getting them to the polls.
  • Democrats outnumbered Republicans in the county by a 69-31 margin, with 60% turnout on the Democratic side. That's great news for the general election.
I choose to focus on these positive aspects of last night as we move into the next phase of this process.  I remain hopeful that the Democratic party will choose its future over its past.

PS: For an interesting take on how the two candidates and their respective generations view change, see Ellen Goodman's article, How We Make Change.

Our Turn

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OK, Pennsylvania readers, it is now our turn to weigh in on the Democratic nominating process.  I hope tomorrow will put an end to the long primary season with a decisive victory for Obama.  The polls are saying that he will keep it close, but from where I stand in the center of PA, there seems to be a chance for a real upset tomorrow.  

Note the following:

Below are the two ads. I leave you with them in the hope that tomorrow will bring a victory for Obama and an end to the Democratic primary race for the nomination.



If the title of this post is unequivocal and definitive, it is offered in the spirit and style of the American mass media punditocracy.  No sooner was the debate on Tuesday over than commentators and bloggers were pontificating not only about Obama taking a beating, as one commentator on MSNBC put it, but also about how the sorts of inane questions ABC's George Stephanopolous and Charlie Gibson posed during the first 45 minutes of the debate were actually vitally important and highly relevant.

As a paradigmatic case, take David Brooks' column from today's NYT: although Brooks has a point about how inadvisable it is to make absolute pledges about complex issues like the war or tax increases, he goes astray when he defends Gibson and Stephanopolous this way: 

Charles Gibson and George Stephanopoulos of ABC News are taking a lot of heat for spending so much time asking about Jeremiah Wright and the “bitter” comments. But the fact is that voters want a president who basically shares their values and life experiences.

In his commentary this afternoon on NPR, Brooks went yet further saying that the reason the Democrats have not been able to win the last few elections is because "people were not convinced that the Democratic candidate lives the kind of life they lead."  He goes on to suggest that high school educated white voters do not want to vote for a Harvard educated lawyer who bowls a 37.  

Ironically, this is precisely the sort of elitist and condescending analysis Brooks himself so likes to associate with those of us in the academy.  My sense, which is admittedly largely informed by what I see around me here in a small college town in the center of Pennsylvania, is that the debate will largely help Obama because people are fed up with the sort of immature, gotcha politics on which the main stream media thrives.  

Here, E.J. Dionne's analysis is more accurate: Obama may be one of the first Democrats to actually win something significant -- like PA and thus the nomination -- by running against the media.  

He started to do this already in the debate when he pivoted from Stephanopolous's inane question about whether Obama thought Rev. Wright "loves American as much as you do" (who comes up with this stuff and how does it get on national television?!). Obama responded by trying to shift the focus back to the important issues the country is facing, saying:

And I have confidence in the American people that when you talk to the American people honestly and directly about what I believe in, what my plans are on health care, on energy, when they see my track record of the work that I've done on behalf of people who really need help, I have absolute confidence that they can rally behind my campaign.

At another point, again responding to Stephanopolous, who was pressing Obama about his campaign's questioning Clinton's credibility, Obama tried to shift the focus to issues of substance, saying:

I think what's important is to make sure that we don't get so obsessed with gaffes that we lose sight of the fact that this is a defining moment in our history. We are going to be tackling some of the biggest issues that any president has dealt with in the last 40 years. Our economy is teetering not just on the edge of recession, but potentially worse. Our foreign policy is in a shambles. We are involved in two wars. People's incomes have not gone up, and their costs have. And we're seeing greater income inequality now than any time since the 1920s.

My sense is that people, whatever their level of education, will embrace the maturity of Obama's politics. They will vote for him not because he is like them, but because he has his eyes on the prize and has the talent to make  substantive changes to the way American politics and policy is pursued.  

Obama in PA

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DSC_4021_2.JPGAs many people must have heard, Barack Obama stopped in State College last Sunday on his six day tour of Pennsylvania.  The girls and I were there with 22,000 other people for the largest political rally in State College history.  (See, the Daily Collegian's report and that of the Centre Daily Times.)

Here is a picture I took during the event, along with a YouTube video that captures the scope of the rally at Penn State.  

Although I had heard many parts of the speech before, Obama seemed focused and energetic during the rally.  I was struck in particular by how bold his vision of politics really is.  It is guided at its core by a strong commitment to social justice both at home and abroad.  

This was reinforced today on the 40th anniversary of Dr. King's assassination, when Obama spoke of the need of all of us to work to bend the arc of the moral universe toward justice.

From Obama's speech today in Forth Wayne, IN:

You know, Dr. King once said that the arc of the moral universe is long, but that it bends toward justice. But what he also knew was that it doesn’t bend on its own. It bends because each of us puts our hands on that arc and bends it in the direction of justice. 

So on this day – of all days – let’s each do our part to bend that arc. 

Let’s bend that arc toward justice. Let’s bend that arc toward opportunity. 

Let’s bend that arc toward prosperity for all. 

And if we can do that and march together – as one nation, and one people – then we won’t just be keeping faith with what Dr. King lived and died for, we’ll be making real the words of Amos that he invoked so often, and “let justice roll down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”



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